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Creators/Authors contains: "Knipp, Delores"

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  1. Abstract This study characterizes the main ionospheric trough (MIT) using a newly implemented detection method applied to ground‐based Global Navigation Satellite System data. The MIT is a region of plasma depletion occurring primarily in the nighttime sub‐auroral F‐region ionosphere. Analysis is based on ground‐based ionosphere total electron content (TEC) measurements from 2012 to 2024 and is applied to both hemispheres. The data are sorted by geomagnetic condition and season. We characterize MIT dynamics and compare the results with previous studies. Detection algorithm limitations, hemispheric asymmetry, trough depth, boundary wall steepness and position are statistically quantified and visualized. Main conclusions include: (a) Automatic trough detection is highest during geomagnetically active winter in the northern hemisphere (NH). (b) This detection method creates synoptic views of the trough which we can use to demonstrate control of sub‐auroral polarization streams (SAPS) over the dusk/afternoon sector and influence of storm onset on the MIT. (c) There is a noticeable morning preference for the southern hemisphere (SH) trough. (d) The dawn‐side SH trough appears equatorward relative to the NH, potentially due to influence from polar convection patterns. The dusk‐side NH trough appears slightly equatorward of the SH trough as a response to SAPS. (e) The deepest trough occurs during dawn hours and demonstrates more consistent longitudinal patterns during quiet local winter. (f) The steepest trough boundary is at the poleward wall with a positive gradient at 12–15 local time in NH summer. Synoptic maps illustrate asymmetries in the trough structure and the influence of density plumes. 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available July 1, 2026
  2. Abstract In 1972, early August, a series of interplanetary shocks were observed in the heliosphere from 0.8 to 2.2 au. These shocks were attributed to a series of brilliant flares and plasma clouds since at that time coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and their interplanetary counterparts (ICMEs) were unknown to the scientific community. This paper aims to reinterpret the interplanetary data in light of the current understanding about interplanetary transients and to track the evolution of the ICMEs, taking advantage of the alignment of Pioneers 9 and 10 spacecraft. For this purpose, we reanalyze in situ data from these two Pioneers and also from Heos, Prognoz 1 and 2, and Explorer 41 spacecraft searching for ICMEs and high-speed streams. Then we assemble the interplanetary transients and solar activity and analyze the propagation of the ejections through the heliosphere. The evolution of four ICMEs and a high-speed stream from a low-latitude coronal hole is followed using the multipoint in situ observations. The first three ICMEs show clear signatures of ICME–ICME interaction in the interplanetary medium, suggesting the first observations of an ICME which developed into an ICME-in-the-sheath. For a non-perturbed ICME event, we obtain the evolution parameter,ζ, related to the local expansion of ICMEs, getting similar values for Pioneer 9 (ζ= 0.80) and Pioneer 10 (ζ= 0.78). These results support previous findings ofζbeing independent of the heliocentric distance and the magnetic field strength decreasing asr−2ζ
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  3. During geomagnetic storms a large amount of energy is transferred into the ionosphere-thermosphere (IT) system, leading to local and global changes in e.g., the dynamics, composition, and neutral density. The more steady energy from the lower atmosphere into the IT system is in general much smaller than the energy input from the magnetosphere, especially during geomagnetic storms, and therefore details of the lower atmosphere forcing are often neglected in storm time simulations. In this study we compare the neutral density observed by Swarm-C during the moderate geomagnetic storm of 31 January to 3 February 2016 with the Thermosphere-Ionosphere-Electrodynamics-GCM (TIEGCM) finding that the model can capture the observed large scale neutral density variations better in the southern than northern hemisphere. The importance of more realistic lower atmospheric (LB) variations as specified by the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model eXtended (WACCM-X) with specified dynamics (SD) is demonstrated by improving especially the northern hemisphere neutral density by up to 15% compared to using climatological LB forcing. Further analysis highlights the importance of the background atmospheric condition in facilitating hemispheric different neutral density changes in response to the LB perturbations. In comparison, employing observationally based field-aligned current (FAC) versus using an empirical model to describe magnetosphere-ionosphere (MI) coupling leads to an 7–20% improved northern hemisphere neutral density. The results highlight the importance of the lower atmospheric variations and high latitude forcing in simulating the absolute large scale neutral density especially the hemispheric differences. However, focusing on the storm time variation with respect to the quiescent time, the lower atmospheric influence is reduced to 1–1.5% improvement with respect to the total observed neutral density. The results provide some guidance on the importance of more realistic upper boundary forcing and lower atmospheric variations when modeling large scale, absolute and relative neutral density variations. 
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  4. Abstract We review observations of solar activity, geomagnetic variation, and auroral visibility for the extreme geomagnetic storm on 1872 February 4. The extreme storm (referred to here as the Chapman–Silverman storm) apparently originated from a complex active region of moderate area (≈ 500μsh) that was favorably situated near disk center (S19° E05°). There is circumstantial evidence for an eruption from this region at 9–10 UT on 1872 February 3, based on the location, complexity, and evolution of the region, and on reports of prominence activations, which yields a plausible transit time of ≈29 hr to Earth. Magnetograms show that the storm began with a sudden commencement at ≈14:27 UT and allow a minimum Dst estimate of ≤ −834 nT. Overhead aurorae were credibly reported at Jacobabad (British India) and Shanghai (China), both at 19.°9 in magnetic latitude (MLAT) and 24.°2 in invariant latitude (ILAT). Auroral visibility was reported from 13 locations with MLAT below ∣20∣° for the 1872 storm (ranging from ∣10.°0∣–∣19.°9∣ MLAT) versus one each for the 1859 storm (∣17.°3∣ MLAT) and the 1921 storm (∣16.°2∣ MLAT). The auroral extension and conservative storm intensity indicate a magnetic storm of comparable strength to the extreme storms of 1859 September (25.°1 ± 0.°5 ILAT and −949 ± 31 nT) and 1921 May (27.°1 ILAT and −907 ± 132 nT), which places the 1872 storm among the three largest magnetic storms yet observed. 
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  5. Abstract Space Weather Journal editors advocate for discussion of uncertainty and reliability in future journal manuscripts and throughout the space weather enterprise. 
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  6. Abstract The Poynting vector (Poynting flux) from Earth's magnetosphere downward toward its ionosphere carries the energy that powers the Joule heating in the ionosphere and thermosphere. The Joule heating controls fundamental ionospheric properties affecting the entire magnetosphere‐ionosphere‐thermosphere system, so it is necessary to understand when and where the Poynting flux is significant. Taking advantage of new data sets generated from DMSP (Defense Meteorological Satellite Program) observations, we investigate the Poynting flux distribution within and around the auroral zone, where most magnetosphere‐ionosphere (M‐I) dynamics and thus Joule heating occurs. We find that the Poynting flux, which is generally larger under more active conditions, is concentrated in the sunlit cusp and near the interface between Region 1 and 2 currents. The former concentration suggests voltage generators drive the cusp dynamics. The latter concentration shows asymmetries with respect to the interface between the Region 1 and 2 currents. We show that these reflect the controlling impact of subauroral polarization streams and dawnside auroral polarization streams on the Poynting flux. 
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  7. Abstract We determine the primary modes of field‐aligned current (FAC) variability and their hemispheric asymmetry by nonlinear regression analysis of a multiyear global data set of Iridium constellation engineering‐grade magnetometer data from the Active Magnetosphere and Planetary Electrodynamics Response Experiment program. The spatial and temporal FAC variability associated with three major categories of solar wind drivers, (1) slow flow, (2) high‐speed streams (HSS), (3) transient flow related to coronal mass ejections (CMEs), and (4) a combination of these, is characterized as empirical orthogonal functions (EOFs) and their time‐varying amplitude. For the combined solar wind category, the order of the modes of variability are strengthening/weakening of (1) EOF1—all FACs; (2) EOF2—Region 2 (R2) FACs; and (3) EOF3—dayside/nightside FACs. The first two EOFs are associated with solar wind coupling; EOF3 is associated with the ecliptic components of the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF). We also find hemispheric asymmetry in FACs. Northern Hemisphere EOFs show clearer spatial features and higher correlation coefficients with solar wind drivers. The Northern Hemisphere also shows higher correlation coefficients in all seasons except winter. We find transient flow EOFs to be better correlated with solar wind drivers such as IMFBzand coupling functions, while HSS EOFs are better correlated with solar wind plasma parameters. CME‐related transient flow EOFs also show R2 FAC variabilities that are not found in other separate wind drivers. Application of the EOF analysis to the Iridium magnetometer data shows significant promise for greater understanding of geoeffectiveness of solar wind interactions with geospace. 
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  8. Abstract We present examples of high‐latitude field‐aligned current (FAC) and toroidal magnetic potential patterns in both hemispheres reconstructed at a 2‐min cadence using an updated optimal interpolation (OI) method that ingests magnetic perturbation data provided by the Active Magnetosphere and Planetary Electrodynamics Response Experiment (AMPERE) program. A solstice and an equinoctial event are studied to demonstrate the reconstructed patterns and to provide scientific insights into FAC response to different solar wind drivers. For the 14 June 2011 high‐speed stream event with mostly northwardBzdriving, we found persistently stronger FACs in the Northern Hemisphere. Extreme interhemispheric asymmetry is associated with the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) direction and large dipole tilt, consistent with earlier studies. FAC asymmetries seen during an isolated substorm can be attributed to dipole tilt. During relatively low geomagnetic activity, the FAC response to IMFBxchanges is identified. For the 17–18 March 2013 period, we provide global snapshots of rapid FAC changes related to an interplanetary shock passage. We further present comparisons between instantaneous and mean behaviors of FAC for the solar wind sheath passage and interplanetary coronal mass ejection southwardBzinterval and northwardBzintervals. We show that (1) sheath passage results in strong FAC and high variation in the dayside polar cap region and pre‐midnight region, different from the typical R1/R2 currents during prolonged southwardBz; (2) four‐cell reverse patterns appear during northwardBzbut are not stable; and (3) persistent dawn‐dusk asymmetry is seen throughout the storm, especially during an extreme substorm, likely associated with a dawnside current wedge. 
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